Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.122245 0.136090 0.150263 0.165820 0.182378 0.199436 0.218303
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.103035 0.122107 0.142380 0.165402 0.190691 0.217504 0.247958
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.091816 0.114831 0.140083 0.169565 0.202767 0.238748 0.280435
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.081138 0.106825 0.135858 0.170616 0.210631 0.254822 0.306884
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.071479 0.098947 0.130888 0.170035 0.216012 0.267646 0.329371
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.064149 0.093094 0.127648 0.170901 0.222602 0.281513 0.352815
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057010 0.086798 0.123308 0.169957 0.226661 0.292156 0.372343
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052847 0.083879 0.122779 0.173340 0.235649 0.308411 0.398313
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047932 0.079540 0.120113 0.173788 0.240861 0.320049 0.418776
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043363 0.075277 0.117222 0.173676 0.245169 0.330454 0.437686
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038847 0.070709 0.113618 0.172386 0.247801 0.338683 0.453894
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035769 0.067934 0.112198 0.173741 0.253614 0.350696 0.474610
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033723 0.066601 0.112739 0.177750 0.262966 0.367312 0.501284
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030473 0.063179 0.110187 0.177500 0.266771 0.377039 0.519589
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028966 0.062338 0.111180 0.181959 0.276636 0.394322 0.547213
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026623 0.059961 0.109827 0.183114 0.282134 0.406117 0.568105
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024016 0.056916 0.107322 0.182537 0.285251 0.414854 0.585191
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022030 0.054742 0.105970 0.183460 0.290282 0.425979 0.605246
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019758 0.051849 0.103366 0.182481 0.292673 0.433677 0.620992
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018718 0.051085 0.103964 0.186026 0.301136 0.449165 0.646553
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017088 0.049065 0.102490 0.186497 0.305374 0.459187 0.665233
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015473 0.046910 0.100680 0.186382 0.308745 0.468050 0.682442
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013763 0.044373 0.098110 0.185032 0.310333 0.474539 0.696607